2018 Primary Forecast and Predictions
I've been sitting back watching the Primary unfold and I think I have seen enough to make a forecast. These are based on my opinions and just trying to read the tea leaves.
Republicans: Owen Vs. Burke
Matt Owen and Dr. Kevin Burke makes for one of the most interesting races. On one side, young Matt who is somewhat limited in general life experience but has proven himself on the city council and also the highest vote getter in the At-Large Council races. On the other side, elderly Dr. Burke who was thought to be a democrat for years. I see this being a tight race but I give the edge to Matt Owen.
Democrats: Fleming Vs. Schlatter
Dr. Rita Fleming and Jason Schlatter is also a very interesting race to see unfold. Dr, Fleming has her followers for sure but no one in any Clark County Race can match the work put in by Jason Schlatter. While Jason hits this ballot completely unknown prior to this race, I see his hard work paying off in a victory over Dr. Fleming.
Democrats: Jordan Vs. Hollis
Larry Jordan Jr. seems like a nice man but Barb Hollis has always been well liked and done a good job over the years. Just on the sure fact that she is a strong incumbent, I have to give her the victory.
The seat being vacated by Zach Payne seems to be the most sought after seat within local government this time around. I say for the democrats, it is a toss up between Lincoln Crum and Jeff Frey. For the republicans, I think Terry Conway pulls out the win. When the votes are counted on election day, your guess is as good as mine to who ends up on the November ballot. There are too many people in the field on either side of the ticket to assume a winner.
US Representative for IN 9th District:
Republicans: Hollingsworth Vs. Alspach
Representative Hollingsworth is strong. In my opinion he's actually done a very good job as our congressman. He's very intelligent, pragmatic, and proactive. In my experiences, if I have called him he has always called back. If we didn't agree, we were able to have a very in-depth conversation to where we could both explain our points of view and why. As for James Alspach, I have one question. Who is James Alspatch? Other than a businessman from Morgantown, I have no idea and have not heard his name one time. The victory in this primary goes to Hollingsworth by a landslide.
Democrats: Canon Vs. Watson Vs. Chatlos
This race is really only between 2 of these candidates: Dan Canon or Liz Watson. Between the two you have "Bernie Sanders Liberal" Dan Canon or "Bernie Sanders Liberal" Liz Watson. No doubt that Canon has wide support from the hipster generation. However, they both support policies that would turn Indiana into a combination of (insert socialist country here) and California. Liz is a lot more polished than Dan and I believe her previous efforts within Washington helps her carry wider support from Democrats. While Dan will probably bring in a majority of the LGTB vote because of his Supreme Court Case, I believe Liz comes out on top of this one by a narrow margin because of her support from labor-unions.